【新唐人2012年11月3日訊】外界盛傳，大陸央行行長周小川在十八大之後即將卸任。最近，他出版的新書中指稱，「調控貨幣供應量與央行保持物價穩定之間，並無必然聯繫。」他這個說法，被專家譏笑，認為，這個央行行長不過是國務院的出納。
近年，大陸通貨膨脹不斷高漲，尤其是今年年初以來，不斷上漲的物價令百姓叫苦連天。不少專家批評指出，中共當局投放大量救市的熱錢所衍生的問題，是罪魁禍首。據報導，大陸經濟界一些人士也在檢討，人民幣是否有「貨幣超發」引起通膨的現象。
對於這個質疑，周小川在他的新書中聲稱，貨幣供應不僅應滿足實物經濟需要，還需滿足服務業及金融市場需要﹔而人民幣的流動性也應能滿足後兩者，因此沒有超發問題。
但經濟學家，美國「南卡羅萊納大學艾肯商學院」教授謝田則指出，在經濟體制正常的任何一個國家，貨幣供應量都是由央行控制，目地是控制通貨膨脹，讓經濟有一個平穩的發展。
美「南卡羅萊納大學艾肯商學院」教授謝田：「貨幣供應量和社會的物價水平和通貨膨脹是直接密切聯繫的。就是說，中國央行行長這個時候拋出這種說法，顯然，是為中共政權它們製造的通貨膨脹找藉口，或者粉飾太平、掩蓋通貨膨脹很惡劣這樣的一個真相。」
謝田分析，一旦發生通膨，會稀釋下層百姓一生辛苦的積蓄，只有特權階層才能從中取得更大的利益。因此，正常國家央行行長不會有周小川這樣的論點。
謝田：「經濟學家也會指出這個說法錯誤、荒謬的地方。但是，這是出自於中國中央銀行行長之口，我們並不奇怪。因為，實際中共的特權和統治集團、利益集團，就是利用這個機會，把中國的財富都劫取到自己的手中。」
而中國人民銀行作為國務院的組成部門，在國務院的領導下獨立執行貨幣政策。對於這樣的安排，周小川認為，這比較符合中國作為發展中國家和轉軌經濟國家的現實需要。
經濟學家，美「普林斯頓大學」社會學博士程曉農指出，周所謂的「獨立」執行貨幣政策，是它獨立於其他政府部門。
美「普林斯頓大學」社會學博士程曉農：「它這個字要這樣理解，他沒說獨立於國務院﹔要懂得讀中國官僚的話語。央行的獨立是指獨立於中央政府，當然獨立於其他政府部會﹔他現在總算和財政部算分開，但並沒有獨立於國務院，所以它是假獨立。」
程曉農還不認同周小川所說﹕「不管未來會怎麼發展，至少在現階段，當前這個體制是符合中國國情的，也是被實踐證明行之有效的。」程曉農指出，行之有效的結果是﹕中國貨幣過量投放。
程曉農：「政府要他有效的發行貨幣，要他發多少就發多少，他忠實的做到了。作為政府的出納，是不是有效，當然有效。」
另外，程曉農還指出，曾經有大陸記者指問周小川，中國的央行能不能獨立﹖周回答﹕「你逼我無語」。
程曉農：「你明明知道我沒法獨立，非要問我這句話，我只好甚麼也不說。如果用周小川這句話來理解，就是說，他是一個當政府錢口袋的央行行長，他只是個出納。他的書一錢不值。」
作為出納，對錢的來去沒有發言權。因此，程曉農指出，作為一個不能獨立的央行行長，他的觀點不具重要性。
採訪編輯/梁欣 後製/鍾元
Ridiculed: Zhou Xiaochuan claimed currency supply has
nothing to do with inflation
It is widely rumored that Mainland Chinese central bank
governor Zhou Xiaochuan will retire after the 18th Congress.
Recently in his new book he claimed no connection between
controlling money supply and maintaining price stability.
His viewpoint is ridiculed by the experts.
They laughed at this central bank governor only the state
council’s cashier.
In recent years, inflations increased greatly in mainland China.
Especially from the start of this year, increasing prices made
everyday people suffer severely.
Many experts critically say the problem is made by the Chinese
Communist Party (CCP) issuing money to save the market.
Mainland economists reviewed whether there existed “the
currency oversupply” phenomena to lead to the inflation.
For this query, in his new book, Zhou claimed currency supply
should not only cater to material economy, but also cater for the services and financial markets.
The mobility of RMB could cover the later two,
so the currency oversupply didn’t exist.
However, economist at University of South Carolina – Aiken
School of Business (USCASB) professor Xie Tian disagreed with the viewpoint.
He pointed out that in any normal economic system country,
the central bank controlled the currency supply in order to
control inflation and made the economy develop steadily.
USCASB professor Xie Tian: “it’s close connection between the
currency supply and social price degree and inflations.
The timing when the mainland central bank governor
made this statement is obviously to look for excuse for the inflation made by the CCP regime.
Or give a false peace and mask the wicked truth of inflation.”
Xie Tian analyzed that once inflation happened it will dilute
The laborious saving of the poorer people.
Only the privileged class could gain profits from (the inflation).
So, normal central bank governor didn’t have such viewpoints.
Xie Tian: “economists may also point out this wrong and
absurd viewpoint.
However, it’s not strange that the viewpoint was
spoken by the mainland central bank governor.
In fact, the CCP’s privileged class and interest group took
advantage of the chance to take Chinese social fortune into their own hands.”
As one department of state council, the People’s Bank of
China independently carries out currency policy led by state council.
For such arrangement, Zhou Xiaochuan thinks it’s in line with
reality required for a developing country and transition economy country like China.
Economist, sociology Dr. of Princeton University
Cheng Xiaonong says,
so-called independently carrying out currency policy,
is that it looks independent from other state department.
Cheng Xiaonong: “You can understand ‘independent’ like this,
he didn’t say it was independent from the state council;
you should study to understand the Chinese bureaucratic saying.
So-called independent, is independent from the central
government, of course it’s independent from other departments;
Now, it separated from Ministry of finance, but it isn’t independent
from state council, so it’s fake independence.”
Cheng Xiaonong disagreed with Zhou saying that no matter
how society developed, at least in this period,
the current system is in line with Chinese situations,
it’s proven effective.
Cheng Xiaonong also pointed out that the result of ‘effective’
is too much currency was issued.
Cheng Xiaonong: “The government asks it to issue currency, it
issued according with the government’s require, he did indeed.
As the cashier of the government, of course it’s effective.”
Also, Cheng points that mainland journalist has also asked
Zhou whether the mainland central bank could be independent?
Zhou answered, “you forced me to be speechless.”
Cheng Xiaonong: “you know clearly that it can’t be independent,
but you still ask such question, he has to say nothing.
If understanding from Zhou’s saying,
that as a central bank governor,
he is only a government money pocket,
he is a cashier. So his book is worthless.”
As a cashier, he has no speaking right to
where the money goes.
So, Cheng pointed out as a non-independent central bank
governor, his viewpoint is not important.
